Champions League Predictions For Tuesday’s Last-16 Second Legs

Federico Valverde and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia during Champions League last-16 action

These are the four Champions League second-leg predictions for Tuesday, March 17, with quarterfinal places on the line across Lisbon, London and Manchester. Arsenal are in the strongest position of the Premier League clubs involved, while Chelsea and Manchester City are trying to overturn major deficits against Paris Saint-Germain and Real Madrid.

Tuesday’s schedule carries a different kind of pressure in each tie. Sporting CP are chasing control at home to Bodø/Glimt, Arsenal need a stronger performance against Bayer Leverkusen, Chelsea must respond after a damaging late collapse in Paris, and Manchester City require a special night to recover from a 3-0 defeat at the Bernabéu.

1. Sporting CP vs. Bodø/Glimt — Prediction: 1–1

Sporting CP enter the second leg in Lisbon needing a much sharper display after being outplayed in the Arctic Circle. The source describes Bodø/Glimt’s performance in the first meeting as another example of the Norwegian side’s speed and cohesion in possession, qualities that Sporting struggled to cope with.

The key point here is that Bodø/Glimt have already shown they can reproduce high-level performances away from home as well as in their more unusual home environment. Their previous displays in Dortmund, Madrid and Milan are cited as evidence that the occasion should not overwhelm them. Sporting CP are expected to start aggressively in front of their own crowd, but the prediction is that Bodø/Glimt have enough structure and confidence to keep the hosts at arm’s length. A draw would reflect that balance and be enough to underline Bodø/Glimt’s growing stature in Europe.

2. Arsenal vs. Bayer Leverkusen — Prediction: 3–1

Arsenal return to the Emirates with the tie still open after Kai Havertz’s penalty earned an important result in Leverkusen. The source argues that Bayer Leverkusen deserved a narrow first-leg win and suggests Arsenal must improve significantly despite rescuing the scoreline.

That need for a stronger display is set against a very solid home record under Mikel Arteta in this competition. Arsenal have won 13 of their 16 Champions League matches at the Emirates during Arteta’s time in charge, a figure that supports confidence in the second leg. Bayer Leverkusen are still framed as dangerous opponents, particularly after winning at Manchester City in the league phase, so the prediction does not point to a straightforward evening. Instead, the expectation is that Arsenal may need another late surge before eventually separating themselves from the Bundesliga side.

3. Chelsea vs. Paris Saint-Germain — Prediction: 2–2

Chelsea’s task at Stamford Bridge is the toughest of the English clubs after a 5-2 first-leg defeat to Paris Saint-Germain. The scoreline is presented as harsh on Chelsea because they competed well for long spells in Paris, but the game ultimately turned on defensive errors, a disallowed João Pedro equalizer and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia’s late impact from the bench.

The source’s reading of the second leg is shaped by both form and matchup. Paris Saint-Germain are described as well-rested and carrying attacking quality that Chelsea are unlikely to contain over 90 minutes. There is also a tactical concern around Liam Rosenior’s pressing approach, which the piece says has been exposed repeatedly. That combination points toward another open match in west London. Chelsea may create chances of their own, but the forecast is that PSG will score enough to keep the tie under control and leave with a draw.

4. Manchester City vs. Real Madrid — Prediction: 2–1

Manchester City begin the second leg at the Etihad facing a three-goal deficit after Real Madrid’s 3-0 win in Spain. Federico Valverde’s hat-trick defined the first leg and is central to the sense that Madrid once again found a way to seize control of a major Champions League tie.

The preview still leaves room for a different kind of second leg. Manchester City are expected to push hard and force Real Madrid into long periods without the ball, especially at home. Real Madrid’s recent history in this competition is used as a reminder that they are difficult to finish off even when they appear vulnerable. That tension shapes the prediction: City are backed to win the night, but not by enough to reverse the tie. A 2-1 home victory would reflect an improved performance from Guardiola’s team while still sending Madrid through.

Tuesday’s Champions League program is therefore projected to deliver two home wins, one draw in Lisbon and one draw in London. Arsenal are forecast to advance with the clearest margin on the night, while Bodø/Glimt, Paris Saint-Germain and Real Madrid are all tipped to do enough across the second legs to keep their quarterfinal hopes intact.